Puerto Nuevo 33%Draw 30%Mercedes 37%Expected goals 0.95 – 0.98
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultMercedes to win ✗37% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Puerto Nuevo welcome Mercedes for a Primera C fixture on Saturday 30 May (19:30 WAT). In the table, Puerto Nuevo are 9th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Mercedes are 5th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Puerto Nuevo, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Central Ballester, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mercedes, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Español, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Puerto Nuevo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Mercedes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puerto Nuevo 0.9 xG, Mercedes 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puerto Nuevo 33%, draw 30%, Mercedes 37%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puerto Nuevo 0–0 Mercedes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puerto Nuevo33%fair 3.06 · @2.90
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.75
Mercedes37%fair 2.70 · @2.55
1.93Expected goals
0.95Puerto Nuevo xG
0.98Mercedes xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Puerto Nuevo 0.9 – 1.0 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Puerto Nuevo
Mercedes
Attack vs Primera C average
-2%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.05
1.01
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mercedes to win✗
37%
2.70
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.60
Draw no bet
Mercedes (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Puerto Nuevo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Mercedes to score first
44%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.02
–
Recent results
Puerto Nuevo – last 5
DWDDW
17 May
vs Central Ballester
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Sacachispas
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Argentino Rosario
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Fénix
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Victoriano Arenas
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 3
LLD
18 May
@ Deportivo Español
0–1
L
8 May
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Nuevo and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Puerto Nuevo have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Mercedes 37%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Puerto Nuevo 0–0 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes?
Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Central Ballester0
Deportivo Español0
Claypole2
Central Cordoba2
El Porvenir2
Deportivo Muñiz1