Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLugano to win ✗54% · @1.65
Double chanceLugano or draw ✓83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Paraguayo travel to face Lugano on Saturday 30 May in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Lugano are 7th, upper half, on 46 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Paraguayo, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lujan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lugano 1.4 xG, Deportivo Paraguayo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lugano 54%, draw 30%, Deportivo Paraguayo 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lugano 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lugano54%fair 1.87 · @1.65
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @3.20
Deportivo Paraguayo17%fair 6.03 · @5.50
2.10Expected goals
1.39Lugano xG
0.71Deportivo Paraguayo xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–012%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lugano 1.4 – 0.7 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lugano
Deportivo Paraguayo
Attack vs Primera C average
-13%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.05
0.59
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugano to win✗
54%
1.87
1.65
Double chance
Lugano or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Lugano (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Paraguayo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Lugano to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lugano / FT Lugano✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.91
–
Recent results
Lugano – last 2
LW
8 Apr
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–3
L
30 Mar
@ Centro Español
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Deportivo Paraguayo – last 4
LDLD
17 May
vs Lujan
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Berazategui
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugano and Deportivo Paraguayo.
What is the prediction for Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
On our numbers Lugano have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Deportivo Paraguayo 17%.
How many goals will there be in Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our predicted score is Lugano 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Lugano vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Central Ballester0
Deportivo Español0
Claypole2
Central Cordoba2
El Porvenir2
Deportivo Muñiz1