Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Atlas to win ✓40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 13.28
Atletico Atlas vs Claypole: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Atletico Atlas v Claypole in the Primera C. In the table, Atletico Atlas are 10th, lower half, on 37 points after 32 matches; Claypole are 11th (lower half) with 36. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atletico Atlas, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Central Ballester, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Claypole, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Canuelas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Atlas 1.1 xG, Claypole 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Atlas 40%, draw 30%, Claypole 30%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Atlas 1–0 Claypole. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Atlas40%fair 2.50 · @2.60
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @2.75
Claypole30%fair 3.30 · @2.85
2.00Expected goals
1.13Atletico Atlas xG
0.86Claypole xG
52%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Atlas 1.1 – 0.9 Claypole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Atlas
Claypole
Attack vs Primera C average
-13%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+33%
Our expected goals here
1.25
0.83
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Atlas to win✓
40%
2.50
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Atlas (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Claypole +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Atletico Atlas to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Atlas / FT Atletico Atlas✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
13.28
–
Recent results
Atletico Atlas – last 6
WWDLLL
30 Jun
@ Central Ballester
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ El Porvenir
1–0
W
6 Jun
vs Fénix
1–1
D
1 Jun
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–1
L
24 May
vs Lujan
2–3
L
8 May
@ General Lamadrid
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Claypole – last 6
LWLDLW
30 Jun
vs Canuelas
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Deportivo Muñiz
2–1
W
6 Jun
@ Deportivo Español
0–1
L
30 May
vs Central Cordoba
2–2
D
22 May
@ Yupanqui
0–4
L
4 Apr
@ Lujan
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Atlas and Claypole.
What is the prediction for Atletico Atlas vs Claypole?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atletico Atlas vs Claypole?
On our numbers Atletico Atlas have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Claypole 30%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Atlas vs Claypole?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Atlas vs Claypole?
Our predicted score is Atletico Atlas 1–0 Claypole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atletico Atlas vs Claypole?
Atletico Atlas vs Claypole (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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