Double chanceVictoriano Arenas or draw ✓83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.71
Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Paraguayo travel to face Victoriano Arenas on Sunday 5 July in the Primera C, with Estadio Saturnino Moure the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Victoriano Arenas are 6th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Victoriano Arenas, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Puerto Nuevo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Paraguayo, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Centro Español, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Victoriano Arenas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Paraguayo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Victoriano Arenas 1.2 xG, Deportivo Paraguayo 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Victoriano Arenas 51%, draw 32%, Deportivo Paraguayo 17%.
Lower-risk option: Victoriano Arenas or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoriano Arenas 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Victoriano Arenas51%fair 1.96 · @1.90
Draw32%fair 3.09 · @2.85
Deportivo Paraguayo17%fair 6.04 · @4.60
1.70Expected goals
1.17Victoriano Arenas xG
0.54Deportivo Paraguayo xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–018%
2–012%
1–111%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: Victoriano Arenas 1.2 – 0.5 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Victoriano Arenas
Deportivo Paraguayo
Attack vs Primera C average
-22%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-34%
+12%
Our expected goals here
0.94
0.43
Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Victoriano Arenas to win✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Double chance
Victoriano Arenas or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.50
Draw no bet
Victoriano Arenas (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Paraguayo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Victoriano Arenas to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Victoriano Arenas / FT Victoriano Arenas✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.71
–
Recent results
Victoriano Arenas – last 6
LDWDWD
28 Jun
@ Puerto Nuevo
1–2
L
13 Jun
@ Leandro N. Alem
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
1–0
W
31 May
@ Juventud Unida
1–1
D
25 May
vs Sacachispas
1–0
W
17 May
vs Canuelas
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Paraguayo – last 6
LDDDLD
27 Jun
vs Centro Español
0–2
L
13 Jun
vs JJ Urquiza
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Mercedes
0–0
D
30 May
@ Lugano
0–0
D
17 May
vs Lujan
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoriano Arenas and Deportivo Paraguayo.
What is the prediction for Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
On our numbers Victoriano Arenas have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Deportivo Paraguayo 17%.
How many goals will there be in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our predicted score is Victoriano Arenas 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Saturnino Moure.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.