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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Victoriano Arenas v Deportivo Paraguayo: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina · Estadio Saturnino Moure
Victoriano Arenas 51%Draw 32%Deportivo Paraguayo 17% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.54
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultVictoriano Arenas to win ✗51% · @1.90
Double chanceVictoriano Arenas or draw ✓83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.71

Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Paraguayo travel to face Victoriano Arenas on Sunday 5 July in the Primera C, with Estadio Saturnino Moure the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Victoriano Arenas are 6th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Victoriano Arenas, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Puerto Nuevo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Paraguayo, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Centro Español, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Victoriano Arenas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Paraguayo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Victoriano Arenas 1.2 xG, Deportivo Paraguayo 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Victoriano Arenas 51%, draw 32%, Deportivo Paraguayo 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Victoriano Arenas or draw (83%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoriano Arenas 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Victoriano Arenas51%fair 1.96 · @1.90
Draw32%fair 3.09 · @2.85
Deportivo Paraguayo17%fair 6.04 · @4.60
1.70Expected goals
1.17Victoriano Arenas xG
0.54Deportivo Paraguayo xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–018%
2–012%
1–111%
0–110%
2–17%

From our goals model: Victoriano Arenas 1.2 – 0.5 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Victoriano ArenasDeportivo Paraguayo
Attack vs Primera C average-22%-20%
Goals conceded vs average-34%+12%
Our expected goals here0.940.43

Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVictoriano Arenas to win ✗51%1.961.90
Double chanceVictoriano Arenas or draw ✓83%1.201.13
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.50
Draw no betVictoriano Arenas (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapDeportivo Paraguayo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗54%1.841.60
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreVictoriano Arenas to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Victoriano Arenas / FT Victoriano Arenas ✗30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.71–

Recent results

Victoriano Arenas – last 6

LDWDWD
28 Jun@ Puerto Nuevo1–2L
13 Jun@ Leandro N. Alem0–0D
7 Junvs Defensores de Cambaceres1–0W
31 May@ Juventud Unida1–1D
25 Mayvs Sacachispas1–0W
17 Mayvs Canuelas2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Paraguayo – last 6

LDDDLD
27 Junvs Centro Español0–2L
13 Junvs JJ Urquiza0–0D
6 Jun@ Mercedes0–0D
30 May@ Lugano0–0D
17 Mayvs Lujan0–2L
20 Apr@ Sportivo Barracas0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Victoriano Arenas and Deportivo Paraguayo.

Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

On our numbers Victoriano Arenas have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Deportivo Paraguayo 17%.

How many goals will there be in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Our predicted score is Victoriano Arenas 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Saturnino Moure.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.