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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Berazategui v Puerto Nuevo: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
0–2
FT
Berazategui 58%Draw 25%Puerto Nuevo 17% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.75
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBerazategui to win ✗58% · @1.53
Double chanceBerazategui or draw ✗83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00

Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 5 July the Primera C brings Berazategui against Puerto Nuevo. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Berazategui are 1st, leading the league, on 51 points after 32 matches; Puerto Nuevo are 9th (lower half) with 41.

Current form

Berazategui, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leandro N. Alem, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Puerto Nuevo, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Victoriano Arenas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Puerto Nuevo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Berazategui.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Berazategui 1.6 xG, Puerto Nuevo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Berazategui 58%, draw 25%, Puerto Nuevo 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Berazategui 1–0 Puerto Nuevo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Berazategui58%fair 1.72 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.55
Puerto Nuevo17%fair 5.86 · @6.00
2.32Expected goals
1.57Berazategui xG
0.75Puerto Nuevo xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Berazategui 1.6 – 0.8 Puerto Nuevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BerazateguiPuerto Nuevo
Attack vs Primera C average+22%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+4%+23%
Our expected goals here1.620.84

Our own ratings from every Primera C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBerazategui to win ✗58%1.721.53
Double chanceBerazategui or draw ✗83%1.211.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.882.05 ▲
Draw no betBerazategui (draw no bet) ✗77%1.29–
Asian handicapPuerto Nuevo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreBerazategui to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Berazategui / FT Berazategui ✗34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.00–

Recent results

Berazategui – last 6

DWLDDD
28 Jun@ Leandro N. Alem1–1D
8 Junvs Juventud Unida2–1W
3 Jun@ Sacachispas0–1L
24 Mayvs Argentino Rosario2–2D
6 Aprvs JJ Urquiza1–1D
15 Marvs Deportivo Paraguayo0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Puerto Nuevo – last 6

WLWDDW
28 Junvs Victoriano Arenas2–1W
14 Junvs Centro Español0–2L
6 Jun@ JJ Urquiza1–0W
30 Mayvs Mercedes1–1D
17 Mayvs Central Ballester0–0D
6 Apr@ Sacachispas2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Berazategui and Puerto Nuevo.

Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo?

On our numbers Berazategui have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puerto Nuevo 17%.

How many goals will there be in Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo?

Our predicted score is Berazategui 1–0 Puerto Nuevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo?

Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.