Leandro N. Alem v Lugano Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLugano to win ✓38% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.87

Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 22 August the Primera C brings Leandro N. Alem against Lugano. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Leandro N. Alem are 13th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Lugano are 7th (upper half) with 46. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Leandro N. Alem, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Central Ballester, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Lugano, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lujan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lugano, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Leandro N. Alem.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leandro N. Alem 1.2 xG, Lugano 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Leandro N. Alem 38%, draw 24%, Lugano 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Lugano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leandro N. Alem38%fair 2.64 · @2.60

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90

Lugano38%fair 2.64 · @2.50

2.34Expected goals

1.17Leandro N. Alem xG

1.17Lugano xG

46%Both score

40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–011%

0–010%

1–28%

2–18%

From our goals model: Leandro N. Alem 1.2 – 1.2 Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lugano to win ✓	38%	2.64	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	–
Draw no bet	Lugano (draw no bet) ✓	50%	2.00	–
Asian handicap	Leandro N. Alem +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.68	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Lugano to score first ✓	45%	2.21	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lugano / FT Lugano ✗	20%	4.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✓	11%	8.87	–

Leandro N. Alem – last 6

LLDLWL

15 Aug	@ Central Ballester	0–3	L
8 Aug	@ Defensores de Cambaceres	0–2	L
27 Jul	@ Sacachispas	1–1	D
18 Jul	@ Canuelas	0–1	L
12 Jul	vs Argentino Rosario	2–0	W
4 Jul	@ Estrella Del Sur	0–3	L

0.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Lugano – last 6

LDWWWD

16 Aug	vs Lujan	1–2	L
9 Aug	vs Victoriano Arenas	0–0	D
31 Jul	@ Defensores de Cambaceres	2–1	W
25 Jul	vs Centro Español	1–0	W
17 Jul	vs Sportivo Barracas	3–2	W
12 Jul	@ Juventud Unida	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Berazategui	32	13	12	7	+16	51
2	Sacachispas	32	14	8	10	+7	50
3	Estrella Del Sur	32	12	12	8	+3	48
4	Centro Español	32	12	11	9	+13	47
5	Mercedes	32	12	11	9	+7	47
6	Victoriano Arenas	32	11	14	7	+7	47
7	Lugano	32	11	13	8	+6	46
8	Juventud Unida	32	12	9	11	+6	45
9	Puerto Nuevo	32	10	11	11	-6	41
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	32	9	9	14	-9	36
11	JJ Urquiza	32	7	14	11	-5	35
12	Deportivo Paraguayo	32	7	11	14	-18	32
13	Leandro N. Alem	32	8	7	17	-28	31
14	Argentino Rosario	32	4	15	13	-12	27

Team

Pts

+16

+13

-6

Defensores de Cambaceres

-9

-5

-18

-28

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?

On our numbers Leandro N. Alem have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lugano 38%.

How many goals will there be in Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?

Our predicted score is Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?

Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Leandro N. Alem v Lugano: numbers & prediction