Canuelas v Leones de Rosario Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLeones de Rosario to win ✗42% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.86

Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leones de Rosario travel to face Canuelas on Saturday 22 August in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Canuelas are 2nd, among the top four, on 61 points after 32 matches; Leones de Rosario are 4th (among the top four) with 51.

Current form

Canuelas, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Estrella Del Sur, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Leones de Rosario, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Defensores de Cambaceres, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Canuelas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Leones de Rosario.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Canuelas 0.9 xG, Leones de Rosario 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Canuelas 33%, draw 25%, Leones de Rosario 42%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canuelas 0–1 Leones de Rosario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Canuelas33%fair 3.05 · @3.25

Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75

Leones de Rosario42%fair 2.37 · @2.25

1.97Expected goals

0.90Canuelas xG

1.08Leones de Rosario xG

51%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%

0–014%

1–113%

1–012%

0–28%

1–27%

From our goals model: Canuelas 0.9 – 1.1 Leones de Rosario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Leones de Rosario to win ✗	42%	2.37	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.94	2.20 ▲
Draw no bet	Leones de Rosario (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Canuelas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	60%	1.67	1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.50	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	1.04
First team to score	Leones de Rosario to score first ✗	47%	2.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	50%	1.99	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	22%	4.53	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.86	–

Canuelas – last 6

LLWLWW

15 Aug	vs Estrella Del Sur	1–2	L
9 Aug	@ Atletico Atlas	0–2	L
3 Aug	@ Yupanqui	2–1	W
25 Jul	vs Deportivo Muñiz	0–1	L
18 Jul	vs Leandro N. Alem	1–0	W
11 Jul	@ Deportivo Español	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Leones de Rosario – last 6

WDDLDL

17 Aug	vs Defensores de Cambaceres	2–0	W
4 Aug	@ Centro Español	1–1	D
31 Jul	@ Deportivo Español	0–0	D
25 Jul	vs Central Cordoba	0–2	L
13 Jul	@ Claypole	1–1	D
4 Jul	vs Central Ballester	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lujan	32	19	7	6	+24	64
2	Canuelas	32	17	10	5	+21	61
3	Deportivo Español	32	12	16	4	+10	52
4	Leones de Rosario	32	13	12	7	+6	51
5	Central Cordoba	32	13	10	9	+9	49
6	General Lamadrid	32	9	14	9	-4	41
7	Sportivo Barracas	32	11	7	14	0	40
8	El Porvenir	32	8	16	8	-4	40
9	Central Ballester	32	10	8	14	-5	38
10	Atletico Atlas	32	9	10	13	-5	37
11	Claypole	32	9	9	14	-13	36
12	Yupanqui	32	8	11	13	-3	35
13	Fénix	32	8	10	14	-8	34
14	Deportivo Muñiz	32	6	11	15	-15	29

Team

Pts

+24

+21

+10

-4

-4

-5

-5

-13

-3

-8

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario?

On our numbers Canuelas have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones de Rosario 42%.

How many goals will there be in Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario?

Our predicted score is Canuelas 0–1 Leones de Rosario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario?

Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Canuelas v Leones de Rosario: numbers & prediction