Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSacachispas to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.33
Mercedes vs Sacachispas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Mercedes v Sacachispas in the Primera C. In the table, Mercedes are 5th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Sacachispas are 2nd (among the top four) with 50. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mercedes, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Claypole, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sacachispas, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Español, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sacachispas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Mercedes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mercedes 0.9 xG, Sacachispas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mercedes 34%, draw 26%, Sacachispas 40%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mercedes 0–1 Sacachispas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mercedes34%fair 2.94 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.70
Sacachispas40%fair 2.52 · @2.55
1.96Expected goals
0.93Mercedes xG
1.03Sacachispas xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mercedes 0.9 – 1.0 Sacachispas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacachispas to win✗
40%
2.52
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Sacachispas (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Mercedes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Sacachispas to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.33
–
Recent results
Mercedes – last 6
LLDWWD
18 Aug
@ Claypole
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Estrella Del Sur
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Berazategui
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Victoriano Arenas
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sacachispas – last 6
DWWLDW
17 Aug
@ Deportivo Español
0–0
D
10 Aug
vs Deportivo Paraguayo
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Atletico Atlas
2–0
W
31 Jul
@ Puerto Nuevo
0–1
L
27 Jul
vs Leandro N. Alem
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mercedes and Sacachispas.
What is the prediction for Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
On our numbers Mercedes have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sacachispas 40%.
How many goals will there be in Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
Our predicted score is Mercedes 0–1 Sacachispas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
Mercedes vs Sacachispas (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Yupanqui0
Atletico Atlas2
Canuelas1
Leones de Rosario0