Value bet: Victoriano Arenas to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstrella Del Sur to win ✗37% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Victoriano Arenas travel to face Estrella Del Sur on Sunday 30 August in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Estrella Del Sur are 3rd, among the top four, on 48 points after 32 matches; Victoriano Arenas are 6th (upper half) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Estrella Del Sur, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Centro Español, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Victoriano Arenas, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Berazategui, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrella Del Sur 0.9 xG, Victoriano Arenas 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrella Del Sur 37%, draw 26%, Victoriano Arenas 37%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Victoriano Arenas to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Victoriano Arenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrella Del Sur37%fair 2.71 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.65
Victoriano Arenas37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
1.78Expected goals
0.89Estrella Del Sur xG
0.89Victoriano Arenas xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Estrella Del Sur 0.9 – 0.9 Victoriano Arenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrella Del Sur to win✗
37%
2.71
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.50
Draw no bet
Estrella Del Sur (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Victoriano Arenas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.04
–
First team to score
Estrella Del Sur to score first
42%
2.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.64
–
Recent results
Estrella Del Sur – last 6
LWWLDW
24 Aug
@ Centro Español
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Canuelas
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs JJ Urquiza
1–0
W
4 Aug
vs Lujan
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ Mercedes
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Paraguayo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Victoriano Arenas – last 6
WLDWDL
22 Aug
vs Berazategui
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs General Lamadrid
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Lugano
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Centro Español
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs JJ Urquiza
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ Deportivo Español
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Del Sur and Victoriano Arenas.
What is the prediction for Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
On our numbers Estrella Del Sur have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Victoriano Arenas 37%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
Our predicted score is Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Victoriano Arenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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