Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultJuventud Unida to win ✓49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.30
Juventud Unida vs Mercedes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Primera C brings Juventud Unida against Mercedes. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Juventud Unida are 8th, lower half, on 45 points after 32 matches; Mercedes are 5th (upper half) with 47. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Juventud Unida, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leandro N. Alem, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Mercedes, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sacachispas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventud Unida 1.3 xG, Mercedes 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud Unida 49%, draw 25%, Mercedes 26%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud Unida 1–0 Mercedes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventud Unida49%fair 2.03 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.88
Mercedes26%fair 3.83 · @3.85
2.07Expected goals
1.26Juventud Unida xG
0.81Mercedes xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Juventud Unida 1.3 – 0.8 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud Unida to win✓
49%
2.03
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.91
Draw no bet
Juventud Unida (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Mercedes +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Juventud Unida to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud Unida / FT Juventud Unida✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.30
–
Recent results
Juventud Unida – last 6
WLWDWW
25 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Deportivo Paraguayo
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Deportivo Muñiz
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Puerto Nuevo
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ Claypole
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 6
WLLDWW
22 Aug
vs Sacachispas
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Claypole
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Estrella Del Sur
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Berazategui
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud Unida and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Juventud Unida have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mercedes 26%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Juventud Unida 1–0 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
Juventud Unida vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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