Leandro N. Alem 37%Draw 25%Puerto Nuevo 38%Expected goals 1.12 – 1.14
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Puerto Nuevo to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPuerto Nuevo to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.12
Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leandro N. Alem welcome Puerto Nuevo for a Primera C fixture on Sunday 30 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Leandro N. Alem are 13th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Puerto Nuevo are 9th (lower half) with 41.
Current form
Leandro N. Alem, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juventud Unida, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Puerto Nuevo, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores de Cambaceres, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Puerto Nuevo, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Leandro N. Alem.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leandro N. Alem 1.1 xG, Puerto Nuevo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leandro N. Alem 37%, draw 25%, Puerto Nuevo 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Puerto Nuevo to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Puerto Nuevo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leandro N. Alem37%fair 2.70 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Puerto Nuevo38%fair 2.60 · @2.88
2.26Expected goals
1.12Leandro N. Alem xG
1.14Puerto Nuevo xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Leandro N. Alem 1.1 – 1.1 Puerto Nuevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Nuevo to win✓
38%
2.60
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Puerto Nuevo (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Leandro N. Alem +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Puerto Nuevo to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Nuevo / FT Puerto Nuevo✗
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.12
–
Recent results
Leandro N. Alem – last 6
LLLLDL
25 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Lugano
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Central Ballester
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
L
27 Jul
@ Sacachispas
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Canuelas
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Puerto Nuevo – last 6
LDDWDL
23 Aug
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Yupanqui
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Juventud Unida
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Sacachispas
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Argentino Rosario
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Fénix
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leandro N. Alem and Puerto Nuevo.
What is the prediction for Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
On our numbers Leandro N. Alem have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puerto Nuevo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
Our predicted score is Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Puerto Nuevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.