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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leandro N. Alem v Puerto Nuevo: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
0–3
FT
Leandro N. Alem 37%Draw 25%Puerto Nuevo 38% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.14
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2

Value bet: Puerto Nuevo to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPuerto Nuevo to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.12

Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leandro N. Alem welcome Puerto Nuevo for a Primera C fixture on Sunday 30 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Leandro N. Alem are 13th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Puerto Nuevo are 9th (lower half) with 41.

Current form

Leandro N. Alem, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juventud Unida, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Puerto Nuevo, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores de Cambaceres, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Puerto Nuevo, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Leandro N. Alem.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leandro N. Alem 1.1 xG, Puerto Nuevo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leandro N. Alem 37%, draw 25%, Puerto Nuevo 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Puerto Nuevo to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Puerto Nuevo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leandro N. Alem37%fair 2.70 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Puerto Nuevo38%fair 2.60 · @2.88
2.26Expected goals
1.12Leandro N. Alem xG
1.14Puerto Nuevo xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Leandro N. Alem 1.1 – 1.1 Puerto Nuevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPuerto Nuevo to win ✓38%2.602.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.95 ▲
Draw no betPuerto Nuevo (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapLeandro N. Alem +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scorePuerto Nuevo to score first ✓45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Puerto Nuevo / FT Puerto Nuevo ✗21%4.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.12–

Recent results

Leandro N. Alem – last 6

LLLLDL
25 Augvs Juventud Unida1–2L
22 Augvs Lugano0–1L
15 Aug@ Central Ballester0–3L
8 Aug@ Defensores de Cambaceres0–2L
27 Jul@ Sacachispas1–1D
18 Jul@ Canuelas0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Puerto Nuevo – last 6

LDDWDL
23 Augvs Defensores de Cambaceres0–2L
14 Augvs Yupanqui2–2D
9 Aug@ Juventud Unida1–1D
31 Julvs Sacachispas1–0W
23 Jul@ Argentino Rosario0–0D
17 Julvs Fénix0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leandro N. Alem and Puerto Nuevo.

Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Berazategui3213127+1651
2Sacachispas3214810+750
3Estrella Del Sur3212128+348
4Centro Español3212119+1347
5Mercedes3212119+747
6Victoriano Arenas3211147+747
7Lugano3211138+646
8Juventud Unida3212911+645
9Puerto Nuevo32101111-641
10Defensores de Cambaceres329914-936
11JJ Urquiza3271411-535
12Deportivo Paraguayo3271114-1832
13Leandro N. Alem328717-2831
14Argentino Rosario3241513-1227

More Primera C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?

On our numbers Leandro N. Alem have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puerto Nuevo 38%.

How many goals will there be in Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?

Our predicted score is Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Puerto Nuevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?

Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.