Cobresal vs A. Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Wednesday 4 March: Cobresal v A. Italiano in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Estadio Zorros del Desierto.
Current form
Cobresal, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to D. La Serena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
A. Italiano, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Union La Calera, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cobresal 1.2 xG, A. Italiano 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cobresal 40%, draw 27%, A. Italiano 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cobresal 1–1 A. Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cobresal40%fair 2.51 · @2.22
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.30
A. Italiano33%fair 3.03 · @3.15
2.33Expected goals
1.23Cobresal xG
1.11A. Italiano xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cobresal 1.2 – 1.1 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobresal to win✗
40%
2.51
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Cobresal (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
A. Italiano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Cobresal to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobresal / FT Cobresal✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.37
–
Recent results
Cobresal – last 3
LDW
27 Feb
vs D. La Serena
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Concepción
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs U. Catolica
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
A. Italiano – last 3
LWL
28 Feb
@ Union La Calera
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Everton de Vina
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nublense
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cobresal and A. Italiano.
What is the prediction for Cobresal vs A. Italiano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cobresal vs A. Italiano?
On our numbers Cobresal have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and A. Italiano 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cobresal vs A. Italiano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobresal vs A. Italiano?
Our predicted score is Cobresal 1–1 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cobresal vs A. Italiano?
Cobresal vs A. Italiano (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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