Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCaracas FC to win ✗41% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.13
Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Caracas FC welcome Metropolitanos FC to Estadio Olimpico de la UCV for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Wednesday 4 March (23:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caracas FC 1.3 xG, Metropolitanos FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caracas FC 41%, draw 26%, Metropolitanos FC 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caracas FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caracas FC41%fair 2.44 · @2.26
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.25
Metropolitanos FC33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
2.59Expected goals
1.31Caracas FC xG
1.28Metropolitanos FC xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 1.3 – 1.3 Metropolitanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caracas FC to win✗
41%
2.44
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Caracas FC (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Metropolitanos FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Caracas FC to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caracas FC / FT Caracas FC✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
Caracas FC – last 2
DL
28 Feb
@ Carabobo FC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UCV
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metropolitanos FC – last 2
WD
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Carabobo FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caracas FC and Metropolitanos FC.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Metropolitanos FC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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