America de Cali 47%Draw 26%Bucaramanga 27%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.93
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓47% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.40
America de Cali vs Bucaramanga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bucaramanga travel to face America de Cali on Friday 6 March in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, with Olimpico Pascual Guerrero the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.
Current form
America de Cali, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Jaguares, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America de Cali 1.4 xG, Bucaramanga 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America de Cali 47%, draw 26%, Bucaramanga 27%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: America de Cali 1–1 Bucaramanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America de Cali47%fair 2.13 · @2.22
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
Bucaramanga27%fair 3.76 · @3.25
2.31Expected goals
1.38America de Cali xG
0.93Bucaramanga xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.4 – 0.9 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✓
47%
2.13
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
America de Cali (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Bucaramanga +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.04
First team to score
America de Cali to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
America de Cali – last 3
WLW
23 Feb
vs Jaguares
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Junior
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Santa Fe
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bucaramanga – last 1
W
1 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Bucaramanga.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bucaramanga 27%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–1 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
America de Cali vs Bucaramanga (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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