Value bet: Macara to win @ 4.30 – our chance 31% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOrense SC to win ✗43% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.28
Orense SC vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 March the CONMEBOL Sudamericana brings Orense SC against Macara at Estadio 9 de Mayo. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT.
Current form
Macara, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over LDU de Quito, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orense SC 1.2 xG, Macara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orense SC 43%, draw 26%, Macara 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @4.30 – the bookmaker implies 23%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orense SC 1–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orense SC43%fair 2.34 · @1.92
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
Macara31%fair 3.19 · @4.30
2.46Expected goals
1.17Orense SC xG
1.29Macara xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Orense SC 1.2 – 1.3 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orense SC to win✗
43%
2.34
1.92
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Orense SC (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Orense SC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Macara to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.28
–
Recent results
Orense SC – last 2
DL
28 Feb
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs LDU de Quito
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Macara – last 3
WDL
1 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Macara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Orense SC vs Macara?
On our numbers Orense SC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Macara 31%.
How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Macara?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orense SC vs Macara?
Orense SC vs Macara (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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