Brazil 62%Draw 20%Croatia 17%Expected goals 2.24 – 1.04
83%
Betarazi pick
Brazil or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Brazil to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBrazil to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Brazil vs Croatia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 1 April the Friendlies brings Brazil against Croatia at Camping World Stadium. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brazil 2.2 xG, Croatia 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brazil 62%, draw 20%, Croatia 17%.
Lower-risk option: Brazil or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Brazil to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Brazil or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brazil 2–1 Croatia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brazil62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.80
Croatia17%fair 5.72 · @4.00
3.28Expected goals
2.24Brazil xG
1.04Croatia xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Brazil 2.2 – 1.0 Croatia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Brazil
Croatia
Attack vs Friendlies average
+50%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+2%
Our expected goals here
2.61
1.09
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil to win✓
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Brazil or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Draw no bet
Brazil (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Brazil -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
First team to score
Brazil to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Brazil ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil / FT Brazil✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Brazil – last 1
L
26 Mar
vs France
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Croatia – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ Colombia
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil and Croatia.
Our pick is Brazil or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brazil vs Croatia?
On our numbers Brazil have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Croatia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil vs Croatia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Croatia?
Our predicted score is Brazil 2–1 Croatia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Brazil vs Croatia?
Brazil vs Croatia (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Camping World Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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