Mexico vs Belgium: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Belgium travel to face Mexico on Wednesday 1 April in the Friendlies, with Soldier Field the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mexico 1.1 xG, Belgium 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mexico 24%, draw 26%, Belgium 50%.
Lower-risk option: Belgium or draw (76%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Belgium or draw (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mexico 1–1 Belgium. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mexico24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.55
Belgium50%fair 1.99 · @1.95
2.64Expected goals
1.09Mexico xG
1.55Belgium xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mexico 1.1 – 1.6 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mexico
Belgium
Attack vs Friendlies average
-21%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.16
1.46
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Double chance
Belgium or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Belgium (draw no bet)
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Mexico +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Belgium to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Mexico – last 2
DW
29 Mar
vs Portugal
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Iceland
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Belgium
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mexico and Belgium.
Our pick is Belgium or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mexico vs Belgium?
On our numbers Mexico have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Belgium 50%.
How many goals will there be in Mexico vs Belgium?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs Belgium?
Our predicted score is Mexico 1–1 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mexico vs Belgium?
Mexico vs Belgium (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Croatia1