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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lithuania v Georgia: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas

Georgia

Lithuania 28%Draw 28%Georgia 44% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.20

75%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultGeorgia to win ✓44% · @1.73

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.90

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.88

Lithuania vs Georgia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lithuania welcome Georgia to Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas for a Friendlies fixture on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lithuania 1.2 xG, Georgia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Lithuania 28%, draw 28%, Georgia 44%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lithuania 1–1 Georgia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lithuania28%fair 3.55 · @4.80

Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.55

Georgia44%fair 2.26 · @1.73

2.44Expected goals

1.24Lithuania xG

1.20Georgia xG

52%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Lithuania 1.2 – 1.2 Georgia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Lithuania	Georgia
Attack vs Friendlies average	+10%	+3%
Goals conceded vs average	-13%	-10%
Our expected goals here	1.20	0.72

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Georgia to win ✓	44%	2.26	1.73
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.38	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	1.90
Draw no bet	Georgia (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Asian handicap	Georgia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	1.09
First team to score	Lithuania to score first ✗	46%	2.15	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lithuania / FT Lithuania ✗	21%	4.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.88	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lithuania and Georgia.

Lithuania vs Georgia head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

Haiti0

Tunisia1 131%4.00X25%3.20244%1.85 1.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✗

Mexico0

Portugal0 126%4.20X25%3.80249%1.77 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.38 ✓

Armenia1

Belarus2 142%2.00X27%3.25231%3.40 1.0–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓

Colombia1

France3 127%5.00X25%3.70248%1.66 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lithuania vs Georgia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Lithuania vs Georgia?

On our numbers Lithuania have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Georgia 44%.

How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Georgia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lithuania vs Georgia?

Our predicted score is Lithuania 1–1 Georgia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lithuania vs Georgia?

Lithuania vs Georgia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.