Value bet: Haiti to win @ 4.00 – our chance 31% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTunisia to win ✓44% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.88
Haiti vs Tunisia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tunisia travel to face Haiti on Sunday 29 March in the Friendlies, with BMO Field the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Haiti 1.3 xG, Tunisia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Haiti 31%, draw 25%, Tunisia 44%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Haiti to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haiti 1–1 Tunisia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Haiti31%fair 3.19 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.20
Tunisia44%fair 2.27 · @1.85
2.55Expected goals
1.32Haiti xG
1.22Tunisia xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Haiti 1.3 – 1.2 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Haiti
Tunisia
Attack vs Friendlies average
-1%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.03
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tunisia to win✓
44%
2.27
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Tunisia (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Tunisia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Haiti to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haiti / FT Haiti✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.88
–
Recent results
Haiti
No recent results on record.
Tunisia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and Tunisia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Haiti vs Tunisia?
On our numbers Haiti have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tunisia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs Tunisia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs Tunisia?
Our predicted score is Haiti 1–1 Tunisia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Haiti vs Tunisia?
Haiti vs Tunisia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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