Mexico vs Portugal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mexico welcome Portugal to Estadio Azteca for a Friendlies fixture on Sunday 29 March (02:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mexico 1.0 xG, Portugal 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mexico 26%, draw 25%, Portugal 49%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mexico 1–1 Portugal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mexico26%fair 3.83 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.80
Portugal49%fair 2.05 · @1.77
2.38Expected goals
1.04Mexico xG
1.34Portugal xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Mexico 1.0 – 1.3 Portugal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mexico
Portugal
Attack vs Friendlies average
-21%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.15
1.21
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugal to win✗
49%
2.05
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Draw no bet
Portugal (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Mexico +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.14
First team to score
Portugal to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugal / FT Portugal✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Mexico – last 1
W
26 Feb
vs Iceland
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Portugal
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mexico and Portugal.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Mexico vs Portugal?
On our numbers Mexico have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portugal 49%.
How many goals will there be in Mexico vs Portugal?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs Portugal?
Our predicted score is Mexico 1–1 Portugal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mexico vs Portugal?
Mexico vs Portugal (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Haiti0
Tunisia1
Lithuania0
Georgia2
Armenia1
Belarus2
Colombia1
France3