Value bet: Monte Azul to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMonte Azul to win39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.86
Taubaté vs Monte Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monte Azul travel to face Taubaté on Saturday 14 February in the Paulista A2 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Taubaté 1.1 xG, Monte Azul 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Taubaté 37%, draw 25%, Monte Azul 39%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Monte Azul to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Taubaté 1–1 Monte Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Taubaté37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Monte Azul39%fair 2.59 · @2.85
2.31Expected goals
1.14Taubaté xG
1.17Monte Azul xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Taubaté 1.1 – 1.2 Monte Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monte Azul to win
39%
2.59
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.90
1.91
Draw no bet
Monte Azul (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Taubaté +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Monte Azul to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monte Azul / FT Monte Azul
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.86
–
Recent results
Taubaté
No recent results on record.
Monte Azul
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Taubaté and Monte Azul.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Taubaté vs Monte Azul?
On our numbers Taubaté have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monte Azul 39%.
How many goals will there be in Taubaté vs Monte Azul?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Taubaté vs Monte Azul?
Our predicted score is Taubaté 1–1 Monte Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Taubaté vs Monte Azul?
Taubaté vs Monte Azul (Paulista A2) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Juventus
Votuporanguense
Santo André
Grêmio Prudente
Sao Bento
Oeste
Inter De Limeira
Linense
Ferroviária
Sertãozinho
XV de Piracicaba
Ituano
São José EC1
Água Santa0