São José EC 42%Draw 29%Água Santa 29%Expected goals 1.30 – 0.86
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: São José EC to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSão José EC to win ✓42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.64
São José EC vs Água Santa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Água Santa travel to face São José EC on Saturday 14 February in the Paulista A2 – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São José EC 1.3 xG, Água Santa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São José EC 42%, draw 29%, Água Santa 29%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: São José EC to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: São José EC 1–0 Água Santa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São José EC42%fair 2.37 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.75
Água Santa29%fair 3.43 · @2.75
2.16Expected goals
1.30São José EC xG
0.86Água Santa xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: São José EC 1.3 – 0.9 Água Santa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São José EC to win✓
42%
2.37
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.57
Draw no bet
São José EC (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Água Santa +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
São José EC to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São José EC / FT São José EC✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.64
–
Recent results
São José EC
No recent results on record.
Água Santa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São José EC and Água Santa.
What is the prediction for São José EC vs Água Santa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win São José EC vs Água Santa?
On our numbers São José EC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Água Santa 29%.
How many goals will there be in São José EC vs Água Santa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São José EC vs Água Santa?
Our predicted score is São José EC 1–0 Água Santa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is São José EC vs Água Santa?
São José EC vs Água Santa (Paulista A2) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Juventus
Votuporanguense
Santo André
Grêmio Prudente
Taubaté
Monte Azul
Sao Bento
Oeste
Inter De Limeira
Linense
Ferroviária
Sertãozinho
XV de Piracicaba
Ituano