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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ferroviária v Sertãozinho: numbers & prediction

Paulista A2 · Brazil
Sat 14 Feb 2026
Ferroviária 58%Draw 26%Sertãozinho 17% Expected goals 1.59 – 0.83
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFerroviária to win58% · @1.60
Double chanceFerroviária or draw83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.71

Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 February the Paulista A2 brings Ferroviária against Sertãozinho. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.6 xG, Sertãozinho 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 58%, draw 26%, Sertãozinho 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–0 Sertãozinho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferroviária58%fair 1.74 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.45
Sertãozinho17%fair 5.98 · @5.40
2.43Expected goals
1.59Ferroviária xG
0.83Sertãozinho xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.6 – 0.8 Sertãozinho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFerroviária to win58%1.741.60
Double chanceFerroviária or draw83%1.201.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.871.95
Draw no betFerroviária (draw no bet)78%1.29–
Asian handicapSertãozinho +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.11–
First team to scoreFerroviária to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.71–

Recent results

Ferroviária

No recent results on record.

Sertãozinho

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Sertãozinho.

Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho head-to-head page →

More Paulista A2 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?

On our numbers Ferroviária have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sertãozinho 17%.

How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?

Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Sertãozinho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?

Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho (Paulista A2) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.