Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 February the Paulista A2 brings Ferroviária against Sertãozinho. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.6 xG, Sertãozinho 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 58%, draw 26%, Sertãozinho 17%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–0 Sertãozinho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferroviária58%fair 1.74 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.45
Sertãozinho17%fair 5.98 · @5.40
2.43Expected goals
1.59Ferroviária xG
0.83Sertãozinho xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.6 – 0.8 Sertãozinho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win
58%
1.74
1.60
Double chance
Ferroviária or draw
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Ferroviária (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Sertãozinho +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Ferroviária to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Ferroviária
No recent results on record.
Sertãozinho
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Sertãozinho.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sertãozinho 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Sertãozinho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho (Paulista A2) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.