Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 3.75 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Machida Zelvia travel to face Kashiwa Reysol on Saturday 14 March in the J1 League, with Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Kashiwa Reysol are 8th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 18 matches; Machida Zelvia are 3rd (among the top four) with 37. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kashiwa Reysol, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to JEF United Chiba, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Machida Zelvia, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gangwon FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Machida Zelvia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Kashiwa Reysol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashiwa Reysol 1.5 xG, Machida Zelvia 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashiwa Reysol 39%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 33%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Machida Zelvia to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashiwa Reysol39%fair 2.57 · @2.00
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.10
Machida Zelvia33%fair 2.99 · @3.75
2.98Expected goals
1.47Kashiwa Reysol xG
1.50Machida Zelvia xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 1.5 – 1.5 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✗
39%
2.57
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Kashiwa Reysol (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Kashiwa Reysol +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Machida Zelvia to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Kashiwa Reysol – last 4
LWLL
7 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ FC Tokyo
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Kashima
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 5
WDWWD
10 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Chengdu Better City
3–2
W
14 Feb
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Machida Zelvia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kyoto Sanga1
Cerezo Osaka2
Nagoya Grampus0
Vissel Kobe3
Shimizu S-pulse1
Fagiano Okayama1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Gamba Osaka0