Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 March the J1 League brings Sanfrecce Hiroshima against Gamba Osaka at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Gamba Osaka are 5th (upper half) with 28. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Johor Darul Takzim FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Gamba Osaka, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ratchaburi, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gamba Osaka, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 xG, Gamba Osaka 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 18%.
Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Gamba Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.80
Gamba Osaka18%fair 5.66 · @4.80
3.26Expected goals
2.16Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
1.10Gamba Osaka xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 – 1.1 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
WLLWDD
11 Mar
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ FC Seoul
2–2
D
14 Feb
vs Fagiano Okayama
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 5
DWDWW
11 Mar
@ Ratchaburi
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs Ratchaburi
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
19 Feb
vs Pohang Steelers
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gamba Osaka 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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