Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 March the J1 League brings Shimizu S-pulse against Fagiano Okayama at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Fagiano Okayama are 6th (lower half) with 26. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fagiano Okayama, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kyoto Sanga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 xG, Fagiano Okayama 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 39%, draw 27%, Fagiano Okayama 35%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Fagiano Okayama35%fair 2.90 · @3.00
2.47Expected goals
1.24Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.23Fagiano Okayama xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 – 1.2 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimizu S-pulse to win✗
39%
2.59
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Shimizu S-pulse (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Fagiano Okayama +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Shimizu S-pulse to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.50
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama – last 3
WLD
8 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fagiano Okayama 35%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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