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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

JEF United Chiba v Tokyo Verdy: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Fukuda Denshi Arena
3–2
FT
JEF United Chiba 38%Draw 28%Tokyo Verdy 34% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.13
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJEF United Chiba to win ✓38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99

JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

JEF United Chiba welcome Tokyo Verdy to Fukuda Denshi Arena for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 4 April (05:00 WAT). In the table, JEF United Chiba are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

JEF United Chiba, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kashima, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Tokyo Verdy, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tokyo Verdy, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.6 for JEF United Chiba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give JEF United Chiba 1.3 xG, Tokyo Verdy 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – JEF United Chiba 38%, draw 28%, Tokyo Verdy 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: JEF United Chiba 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

JEF United Chiba38%fair 2.63 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
Tokyo Verdy34%fair 2.92 · @2.70
2.42Expected goals
1.29JEF United Chiba xG
1.13Tokyo Verdy xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 1.3 – 1.1 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJEF United Chiba to win ✓38%2.632.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.822.00 ▲
Draw no betJEF United Chiba (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapTokyo Verdy +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.271.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.111.05
First team to scoreJEF United Chiba to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT JEF United Chiba / FT JEF United Chiba ✓23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.99–

Recent results

JEF United Chiba – last 5

LLLWL
22 Mar@ Kashima1–2L
18 Marvs FC Tokyo1–2L
14 Mar@ Yokohama F. Marinos0–2L
7 Marvs Kashiwa Reysol2–1W
27 Feb@ Machida Zelvia1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Tokyo Verdy – last 5

LWLLW
18 Marvs Kawasaki Frontale0–2L
14 Marvs Urawa1–0W
7 Mar@ Kashima0–2L
28 Feb@ Yokohama F. Marinos2–3L
15 Feb@ Kashiwa Reysol2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between JEF United Chiba and Tokyo Verdy.

JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?

On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tokyo Verdy 34%.

How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?

Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?

JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.