Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Mito Hollyhock v Kashima in the J1 League, played at K's Denki Stadium Mito. In the table, Mito Hollyhock are 9th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mito Hollyhock, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Kashima, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over JEF United Chiba, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Mito Hollyhock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mito Hollyhock 0.9 xG, Kashima 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mito Hollyhock 19%, draw 23%, Kashima 58%.
Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Kashima to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kashima or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mito Hollyhock19%fair 5.31 · @3.95
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.45
Kashima58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
2.78Expected goals
0.92Mito Hollyhock xG
1.86Kashima xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 0.9 – 1.9 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✗
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Mito Hollyhock +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Kashima to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Mito Hollyhock – last 4
LWLD
22 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Mar
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Machida Zelvia
3–0
W
14 Mar
vs Kawasaki Frontale
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Tokyo Verdy
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Urawa
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and Kashima.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kashima 58%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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