Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fagiano Okayama welcome Avispa Fukuoka to City Light Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 25 April (06:00 WAT). In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (in the drop zone) with 21.
Current form
Fagiano Okayama, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Kyoto Sanga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gamba Osaka, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Avispa Fukuoka, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Fagiano Okayama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 1.6 xG, Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 45%, draw 25%, Avispa Fukuoka 29%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fagiano Okayama45%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
Avispa Fukuoka29%fair 3.43 · @3.30
2.70Expected goals
1.62Fagiano Okayama xG
1.08Avispa Fukuoka xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.6 – 1.1 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✓
45%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Fagiano Okayama (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Avispa Fukuoka +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.05
First team to score
Fagiano Okayama to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama✓
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
LLLWWL
11 Apr
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–5
L
5 Apr
vs Vissel Kobe
1–4
L
21 Mar
vs V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 6
WWWLLL
22 Apr
@ Gamba Osaka
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–5
L
27 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avispa Fukuoka 29%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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