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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Cerezo Osaka: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
2–1
FT
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63%Draw 22%Cerezo Osaka 14% Expected goals 2.07 – 0.93
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:00 WAT, Saturday 25 April: Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League, played at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Cerezo Osaka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over V-varen Nagasaki, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Cerezo Osaka, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kyoto Sanga, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cerezo Osaka, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Cerezo Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1 xG, Cerezo Osaka 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63%, draw 22%, Cerezo Osaka 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (86%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima63%fair 1.58 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.00
Cerezo Osaka14%fair 6.91 · @5.50
3.00Expected goals
2.07Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.93Cerezo Osaka xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1 – 0.9 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓63%1.581.57
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓86%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.65
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapSanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultSanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.08–

Recent results

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WLLLLW
18 Aprvs V-varen Nagasaki2–0W
5 Aprvs Avispa Fukuoka0–1L
27 Mar@ Vissel Kobe1–2L
22 Mar@ Shimizu S-pulse1–3L
18 Mar@ Nagoya Grampus1–2L
14 Marvs Gamba Osaka2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

WWLLWL
18 Aprvs Kyoto Sanga3–0W
11 Apr@ Gamba Osaka1–0W
4 Apr@ Nagoya Grampus0–3L
18 Marvs Fagiano Okayama1–2L
14 Mar@ Kyoto Sanga2–1W
28 Feb@ V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Cerezo Osaka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerezo Osaka 14%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.