Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nagoya Grampus travel to face Shimizu S-pulse on Saturday 25 April in the J1 League, with IAI Stadium Nihondaira the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over V-varen Nagasaki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Nagoya Grampus, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cerezo Osaka, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.3 xG, Nagoya Grampus 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 35%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Nagoya Grampus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse35%fair 2.85 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Nagoya Grampus39%fair 2.58 · @2.50
2.73Expected goals
1.32Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.41Nagoya Grampus xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.3 – 1.4 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win✓
39%
2.58
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Nagoya Grampus (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Nagoya Grampus to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 5
WLWWD
5 Apr
@ V-varen Nagasaki
3–0
W
1 Apr
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 5
WWLWL
4 Apr
vs Cerezo Osaka
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Vissel Kobe
0–3
L
7 Mar
@ Avispa Fukuoka
5–1
W
21 Feb
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nagoya Grampus 39%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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