Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Expected Goals (23 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓62% · @1.70

Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓84% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 23 May the J1 League brings Sanfrecce Hiroshima against Nagoya Grampus at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Kyoto Sanga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nagoya Grampus, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Cerezo Osaka, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nagoya Grampus, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 xG, Nagoya Grampus 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%, draw 22%, Nagoya Grampus 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima62%fair 1.62 · @1.70

Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.85

Nagoya Grampus16%fair 6.11 · @4.50

3.14Expected goals

2.18Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

0.96Nagoya Grampus xG

61%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–110%

1–09%

1–19%

3–07%

3–17%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 – 1.0 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓	62%	1.62	1.70 ▲
Double chance	Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓	84%	1.20	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.63	1.65
Draw no bet	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓	79%	1.26	–
Asian handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	64%	1.57	1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	1.17
First team to score	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first	66%	1.51	–
Half-time result	Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✓	48%	2.10	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✓	42%	2.36	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.12	–

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WWLWWL

17 May	@ Kyoto Sanga	4–0	W
10 May	@ Gamba Osaka	1–0	W
2 May	@ Fagiano Okayama	0–1	L
25 Apr	vs Cerezo Osaka	2–1	W
18 Apr	vs V-varen Nagasaki	2–0	W
5 Apr	vs Avispa Fukuoka	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Nagoya Grampus – last 6

LWWWWW

17 May	@ Cerezo Osaka	1–6	L
10 May	vs Kyoto Sanga	3–0	W
6 May	vs Gamba Osaka	2–1	W
3 May	@ V-varen Nagasaki	2–1	W
25 Apr	@ Shimizu S-pulse	2–0	W
4 Apr	vs Cerezo Osaka	3–0	W

2.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	+4	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	+9	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	+2	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	+8	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	+6	28
6	Fagiano Okayama	18	8	10	-3	26
7	Shimizu S-pulse	18	8	10	-2	24
8	Kyoto Sanga	18	8	10	-6	23
9	V-varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	-8	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	-10	21

Team

Pts

-3

-2

-6

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nagoya Grampus 16%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus: numbers & prediction