Kashima vs FC Tokyo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
09:30 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Kashima v FC Tokyo in the J1 League, played at Kashima Soccer Stadium. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; FC Tokyo are 2nd (among the top four) with 37.
Current form
Kashima, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over JEF United Chiba, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
FC Tokyo, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tokyo Verdy, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 1.2 xG, FC Tokyo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 36%, draw 26%, FC Tokyo 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 1–1 FC Tokyo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima36%fair 2.81 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
FC Tokyo38%fair 2.62 · @2.75
2.61Expected goals
1.22Kashima xG
1.39FC Tokyo xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kashima 1.2 – 1.4 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✗
38%
2.62
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
FC Tokyo (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Kashima +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
FC Tokyo to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Kashima – last 6
WWLWWW
17 May
@ JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
6 May
vs Mito Hollyhock
3–0
W
29 Apr
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Urawa
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 6
WLWWWW
10 May
vs Tokyo Verdy
2–1
W
6 May
vs JEF United Chiba
0–3
L
2 May
vs Kawasaki Frontale
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–1
W
24 Apr
vs Mito Hollyhock
5–2
W
11 Apr
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and FC Tokyo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Kashima have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Tokyo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Kashima 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
Kashima vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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