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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kashiwa Reysol v JEF United Chiba: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
4–2
FT
Kashiwa Reysol 64%Draw 20%JEF United Chiba 16% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.84
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 23 May the J1 League brings Kashiwa Reysol against JEF United Chiba at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, Kashiwa Reysol are 8th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 18 matches; JEF United Chiba are 10th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Yokohama F. Marinos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

JEF United Chiba, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kashima, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kashiwa Reysol, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for JEF United Chiba.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended JEF United Chiba 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kashiwa Reysol 2.0 xG, JEF United Chiba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kashiwa Reysol 64%, draw 20%, JEF United Chiba 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 JEF United Chiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kashiwa Reysol64%fair 1.56 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.10
JEF United Chiba16%fair 6.32 · @6.20
2.85Expected goals
2.01Kashiwa Reysol xG
0.84JEF United Chiba xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 2.0 – 0.8 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓64%1.561.50
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.001.85
Draw no betKashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapKashiwa Reysol -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.191.12
First team to scoreKashiwa Reysol to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultKashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✓41%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

WWLLLL
16 May@ Yokohama F. Marinos1–0W
10 Mayvs Kawasaki Frontale1–0W
6 Mayvs Urawa0–1L
3 May@ Tokyo Verdy0–1L
29 Aprvs FC Tokyo1–3L
24 Aprvs Kashima0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

JEF United Chiba – last 6

LLWLLL
17 Mayvs Kashima0–2L
10 Mayvs Machida Zelvia0–2L
6 May@ FC Tokyo3–0W
2 May@ Urawa0–2L
29 Aprvs Yokohama F. Marinos2–3L
25 Apr@ Kawasaki Frontale1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026JEF United Chiba v Kashiwa Reysol2–1
Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba?

On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and JEF United Chiba 16%.

How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba?

Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba?

Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.