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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fagiano Okayama v Cerezo Osaka: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · City Light Stadium

Fagiano Okayama

WWLWW
2–3
FT

Cerezo Osaka

WWLWW
Fagiano Okayama 36%Draw 24%Cerezo Osaka 40% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.46
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✓40% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.80

Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cerezo Osaka travel to face Fagiano Okayama on Sunday 24 May in the J1 League, with City Light Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 04:55 WAT. In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Cerezo Osaka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.

Current form

Fagiano Okayama, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shimizu S-pulse, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Cerezo Osaka, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Nagoya Grampus, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Cerezo Osaka 1–2 Fagiano Okayama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 1.4 xG, Cerezo Osaka 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 36%, draw 24%, Cerezo Osaka 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fagiano Okayama36%fair 2.78 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.50
Cerezo Osaka40%fair 2.52 · @2.33
2.88Expected goals
1.42Fagiano Okayama xG
1.46Cerezo Osaka xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.4 – 1.5 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerezo Osaka to win ✓40%2.522.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.67
Draw no betCerezo Osaka (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapFagiano Okayama +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.451.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.191.11
First team to scoreCerezo Osaka to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka ✓22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.80–

Recent results

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

WWLWWL
17 Mayvs Shimizu S-pulse2–0W
10 May@ Vissel Kobe3–0W
6 May@ V-varen Nagasaki1–2L
2 Mayvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0W
25 Aprvs Avispa Fukuoka2–0W
11 Apr@ Kyoto Sanga1–5L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

WWLWWL
17 Mayvs Nagoya Grampus6–1W
9 Mayvs V-varen Nagasaki3–2W
25 Apr@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2L
18 Aprvs Kyoto Sanga3–0W
11 Apr@ Gamba Osaka1–0W
4 Apr@ Nagoya Grampus0–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama1–2
Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT Mito Hollyhock1 Kawasaki Frontale3 128%3.00X24%3.35248%2.25 1.2–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
FT Tokyo Verdy0 Yokohama F. Marinos6 133%2.70X27%3.00240%2.70 1.1–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.48 ✓
FT Shimizu S-pulse1 Gamba Osaka2 133%2.75X25%3.35242%2.45 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?

On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cerezo Osaka 40%.

How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?

Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 04:55 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.