Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the J1 League brings Shimizu S-pulse against Gamba Osaka at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Gamba Osaka are 5th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fagiano Okayama, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Gamba Osaka, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 xG, Gamba Osaka 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 33%, draw 25%, Gamba Osaka 42%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Gamba Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse33%fair 3.06 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.35
Gamba Osaka42%fair 2.38 · @2.45
2.76Expected goals
1.23Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.53Gamba Osaka xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 – 1.5 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✓
42%
2.38
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Gamba Osaka (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Gamba Osaka to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
LWLLWL
17 May
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–2
L
2 May
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–2
L
25 Apr
vs Nagoya Grampus
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ V-varen Nagasaki
3–0
W
1 Apr
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 6
LLWLWL
10 May
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
L
6 May
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
2 May
vs Vissel Kobe
5–0
W
22 Apr
vs Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Bangkok United
3–0
W
11 Apr
vs Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gamba Osaka 42%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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