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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mito Hollyhock v Kawasaki Frontale: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · K's Denki Stadium Mito
1–3
FT
Mito Hollyhock 28%Draw 24%Kawasaki Frontale 48% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.77
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Kawasaki Frontale to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKawasaki Frontale to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mito Hollyhock welcome Kawasaki Frontale to K's Denki Stadium Mito for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 24 May (06:00 WAT). In the table, Mito Hollyhock are 9th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 18 matches; Kawasaki Frontale are 4th (among the top four) with 28.

Current form

Mito Hollyhock, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tokyo Verdy, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kawasaki Frontale, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Kawasaki Frontale, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Mito Hollyhock.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mito Hollyhock 1.2 xG, Kawasaki Frontale 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 24%, Kawasaki Frontale 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Kawasaki Frontale to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mito Hollyhock28%fair 3.57 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.35
Kawasaki Frontale48%fair 2.10 · @2.25
2.96Expected goals
1.19Mito Hollyhock xG
1.77Kawasaki Frontale xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.2 – 1.8 Kawasaki Frontale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKawasaki Frontale to win ✓48%2.102.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.62
Draw no betKawasaki Frontale (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapMito Hollyhock +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.481.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.12
First team to scoreKawasaki Frontale to score first57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kawasaki Frontale / FT Kawasaki Frontale ✗31%3.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Mito Hollyhock – last 6

LLLLWL
16 Mayvs Tokyo Verdy0–1L
9 Mayvs Urawa1–4L
6 May@ Kashima0–3L
24 Apr@ FC Tokyo2–5L
19 Aprvs Kashiwa Reysol2–0W
22 Mar@ Kashiwa Reysol0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kawasaki Frontale – last 6

LWLLWW
10 May@ Kashiwa Reysol0–1L
6 Mayvs Tokyo Verdy1–0W
2 May@ FC Tokyo0–2L
29 Apr@ Urawa0–2L
25 Aprvs JEF United Chiba2–1W
18 Apr@ Yokohama F. Marinos2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and Kawasaki Frontale.

Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kawasaki Frontale 48%.

How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.