Value bet: FAS to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFAS to win ✓43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.37
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
FAS vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza travel to face FAS on Sunday 15 February in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, FAS are 2nd, among the top four, on 33 points after 19 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FAS 1.5 xG, Alianza 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FAS 43%, draw 27%, Alianza 30%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: FAS to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: FAS 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FAS43%fair 2.32 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.88
Alianza30%fair 3.33 · @2.75
2.61Expected goals
1.53FAS xG
1.07Alianza xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: FAS 1.5 – 1.1 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FAS
Alianza
Attack vs Primera Division average
+19%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.72
0.97
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FAS to win✓
43%
2.32
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
FAS (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Alianza +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
FAS to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FAS / FT FAS✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
FAS
No recent results on record.
Alianza
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FAS and Alianza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FAS vs Alianza?
On our numbers FAS have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alianza 30%.
How many goals will there be in FAS vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FAS vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is FAS 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FAS vs Alianza?
FAS vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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