Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFirpo to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceFirpo or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Firpo vs Platense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Primera Division brings Firpo against Platense. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Firpo are 1st, leading the league, on 40 points after 20 matches; Platense are 6th (upper half) with 27. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Firpo 1.9 xG, Platense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Firpo 63%, draw 24%, Platense 13%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Firpo 2–0 Platense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Firpo63%fair 1.58 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.90
Platense13%fair 7.89 · @7.40
2.69Expected goals
1.90Firpo xG
0.79Platense xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Firpo 1.9 – 0.8 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Firpo
Platense
Attack vs Primera Division average
+20%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
+0%
Our expected goals here
1.75
0.77
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Double chance
Firpo or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Firpo (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Firpo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Firpo to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Firpo ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✓
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Firpo
No recent results on record.
Platense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Platense.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Firpo vs Platense?
On our numbers Firpo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Platense 13%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Platense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Firpo 2–0 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Platense?
Firpo vs Platense (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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