Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal Limeño to win ✓55% · @1.77
Double chanceMunicipal Limeño or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San Francisco in the Primera Division. In the table, Municipal Limeño are 8th, lower half, on 23 points after 20 matches; Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal Limeño 1.8 xG, Fuerte San Francisco 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal Limeño 55%, draw 25%, Fuerte San Francisco 20%.
Lower-risk option: Municipal Limeño or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal Limeño 1–1 Fuerte San Francisco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal Limeño55%fair 1.83 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.25
Fuerte San Francisco20%fair 4.91 · @4.40
2.79Expected goals
1.76Municipal Limeño xG
1.02Fuerte San Francisco xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Municipal Limeño 1.8 – 1.0 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Municipal Limeño
Fuerte San Francisco
Attack vs Primera Division average
+16%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+21%
Our expected goals here
2.06
1.24
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal Limeño to win✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Double chance
Municipal Limeño or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Municipal Limeño (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Fuerte San Francisco +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Municipal Limeño to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal Limeño / FT Municipal Limeño✓
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Municipal Limeño
No recent results on record.
Fuerte San Francisco
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal Limeño and Fuerte San Francisco.
What is the prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Municipal Limeño have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fuerte San Francisco 20%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Municipal Limeño 1–1 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hércules1
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