Alianza vs Municipal Limeño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Primera Division brings Alianza against Municipal Limeño. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Municipal Limeño are 8th (lower half) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.6 xG, Municipal Limeño 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 51%, draw 25%, Municipal Limeño 24%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza or draw (76%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 Municipal Limeño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza51%fair 1.96 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.20
Municipal Limeño24%fair 4.11 · @3.95
2.79Expected goals
1.62Alianza xG
1.17Municipal Limeño xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.6 – 1.2 Municipal Limeño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza
Municipal Limeño
Attack vs Primera Division average
-1%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.43
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Alianza (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Municipal Limeño +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Alianza to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✓
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Alianza – last 2
WL
19 Feb
@ Águila
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Municipal Limeño – last 2
WW
19 Feb
vs Zacatecoluca
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Fuerte San Francisco
5–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Municipal Limeño.
What is the prediction for Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
On our numbers Alianza have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Municipal Limeño 24%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Municipal Limeño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Municipal Limeño?
Alianza vs Municipal Limeño (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hércules2
Zacatecoluca2