Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFirpo to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceFirpo or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Firpo vs Hércules: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Firpo v Hércules in the Primera Division.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Firpo 2.1 xG, Hércules 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Firpo 67%, draw 19%, Hércules 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Firpo 2–0 Hércules. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Firpo67%fair 1.49 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @5.50
Hércules14%fair 7.25 · @9.75
3.01Expected goals
2.11Firpo xG
0.90Hércules xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Firpo 2.1 – 0.9 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Firpo
Hércules
Attack vs Primera Division average
+20%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.89
0.88
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✓
67%
1.49
1.22
Double chance
Firpo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Firpo (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Firpo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Firpo to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Firpo ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Firpo – last 2
LW
19 Feb
@ Isidro Metapán
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Platense
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 2
LL
18 Feb
vs Cacahuatique
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Inter
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Hércules.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Firpo vs Hércules?
On our numbers Firpo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hércules 14%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Hércules?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Firpo 2–0 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Hércules?
Firpo vs Hércules (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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