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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fuerte San Francisco v Zacatecoluca: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador
Fuerte San Francisco 39%Draw 26%Zacatecoluca 35% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.31
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Zacatecoluca to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFuerte San Francisco to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94

Fuerte San Francisco vs Zacatecoluca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fuerte San Francisco welcome Zacatecoluca for a Primera Division fixture on Sunday 22 February (22:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fuerte San Francisco 1.4 xG, Zacatecoluca 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fuerte San Francisco 39%, draw 26%, Zacatecoluca 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Zacatecoluca to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fuerte San Francisco 1–1 Zacatecoluca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fuerte San Francisco39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
Zacatecoluca35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
2.66Expected goals
1.35Fuerte San Francisco xG
1.31Zacatecoluca xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Fuerte San Francisco 1.4 – 1.3 Zacatecoluca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Fuerte San FranciscoZacatecoluca
Attack vs Primera Division average-14%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+21%+18%
Our expected goals here1.481.49

Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFuerte San Francisco to win ✗39%2.562.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.73
Draw no betFuerte San Francisco (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapZacatecoluca +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreFuerte San Francisco to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fuerte San Francisco / FT Fuerte San Francisco ✗22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.94–

Recent results

Fuerte San Francisco – last 2

DL
18 Feb@ Platense1–1D
15 Feb@ Municipal Limeño0–5L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Zacatecoluca – last 1

L
19 Feb@ Municipal Limeño1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fuerte San Francisco and Zacatecoluca.

Fuerte San Francisco vs Zacatecoluca head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fuerte San Francisco vs Zacatecoluca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Fuerte San Francisco vs Zacatecoluca?

On our numbers Fuerte San Francisco have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Zacatecoluca 35%.

How many goals will there be in Fuerte San Francisco vs Zacatecoluca?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fuerte San Francisco vs Zacatecoluca?

Our predicted score is Fuerte San Francisco 1–1 Zacatecoluca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Fuerte San Francisco vs Zacatecoluca?

Fuerte San Francisco vs Zacatecoluca (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.