Fuerte San Francisco 16%Draw 25%Firpo 59%Expected goals 0.85 – 1.82
72%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultFirpo to win59% · @1.62
Double chanceFirpo or draw84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.24
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Fuerte San Francisco v Firpo in the Primera Division. In the table, Fuerte San Francisco are 12th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 20 matches; Firpo are 1st (leading the league) with 40. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Águila, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Firpo, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cacahuatique, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Firpo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Fuerte San Francisco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fuerte San Francisco 0.9 xG, Firpo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fuerte San Francisco 16%, draw 25%, Firpo 59%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fuerte San Francisco 0–2 Firpo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fuerte San Francisco16%fair 6.29 · @5.25
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.40
Firpo59%fair 1.70 · @1.62
2.68Expected goals
0.85Fuerte San Francisco xG
1.82Firpo xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fuerte San Francisco 0.9 – 1.8 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fuerte San Francisco
Firpo
Attack vs Primera Division average
-14%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
-33%
Our expected goals here
0.84
1.81
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win
59%
1.70
1.62
Double chance
Firpo or draw
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.90
Draw no bet
Firpo (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Firpo -0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Firpo to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Firpo ahead at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Fuerte San Francisco – last 6
DLDLLD
1 Apr
@ Águila
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ FAS
1–3
L
18 Mar
vs Inter
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Alianza
2–3
L
26 Feb
vs Águila
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Zacatecoluca
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Firpo – last 6
WWWLLW
2 Apr
vs Cacahuatique
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Inter
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Municipal Limeño
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ FAS
0–2
L
25 Feb
@ Cacahuatique
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fuerte San Francisco and Firpo.
What is the prediction for Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
On our numbers Fuerte San Francisco have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Firpo 59%.
How many goals will there be in Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
Our predicted score is Fuerte San Francisco 0–2 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.