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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fuerte San Francisco v Firpo: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador
0–0
–

Firpo

WWWLL
Fuerte San Francisco 16%Draw 25%Firpo 59% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.82
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultFirpo to win59% · @1.62
Double chanceFirpo or draw84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.24

Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Fuerte San Francisco v Firpo in the Primera Division. In the table, Fuerte San Francisco are 12th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 20 matches; Firpo are 1st (leading the league) with 40. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Águila, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Firpo, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cacahuatique, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Firpo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Fuerte San Francisco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fuerte San Francisco 0.9 xG, Firpo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fuerte San Francisco 16%, draw 25%, Firpo 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fuerte San Francisco 0–2 Firpo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fuerte San Francisco16%fair 6.29 · @5.25
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.40
Firpo59%fair 1.70 · @1.62
2.68Expected goals
0.85Fuerte San Francisco xG
1.82Firpo xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Fuerte San Francisco 0.9 – 1.8 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Fuerte San FranciscoFirpo
Attack vs Primera Division average-14%+20%
Goals conceded vs average+21%-33%
Our expected goals here0.841.81

Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFirpo to win59%1.701.62
Double chanceFirpo or draw84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.831.90
Draw no betFirpo (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapFirpo -0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.381.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.941.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.15–
First team to scoreFirpo to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultFirpo ahead at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Firpo / FT Firpo38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.24–

Recent results

Fuerte San Francisco – last 6

DLDLLD
1 Apr@ Águila1–1D
23 Mar@ FAS1–3L
18 Marvs Inter0–0D
8 Mar@ Alianza2–3L
26 Febvs Águila0–1L
22 Febvs Zacatecoluca2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Firpo – last 6

WWWLLW
2 Aprvs Cacahuatique1–0W
29 Mar@ Inter3–0W
20 Mar@ Zacatecoluca3–1W
15 Mar@ Municipal Limeño1–2L
1 Mar@ FAS0–2L
25 Feb@ Cacahuatique1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fuerte San Francisco and Firpo.

Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?

On our numbers Fuerte San Francisco have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Firpo 59%.

How many goals will there be in Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?

Our predicted score is Fuerte San Francisco 0–2 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo?

Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.