Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultÁguila to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Municipal Limeño vs Águila: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Águila travel to face Municipal Limeño on Sunday 5 April in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Municipal Limeño are 8th, lower half, on 23 points after 20 matches; Águila are 4th (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Municipal Limeño, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FAS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Águila, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fuerte San Francisco, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal Limeño 1.4 xG, Águila 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal Limeño 33%, draw 24%, Águila 42%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal Limeño 1–1 Águila. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal Limeño33%fair 2.99 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Águila42%fair 2.36 · @2.25
3.00Expected goals
1.41Municipal Limeño xG
1.59Águila xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Municipal Limeño 1.4 – 1.6 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Municipal Limeño
Águila
Attack vs Primera Division average
+16%
+34%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.75
1.94
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águila to win✗
42%
2.36
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Águila (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Municipal Limeño +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Águila to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águila / FT Águila✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Municipal Limeño – last 6
LLWWWW
2 Apr
@ FAS
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Isidro Metapán
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Platense
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Firpo
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Platense
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Inter
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Águila – last 6
DWDWWL
1 Apr
vs Fuerte San Francisco
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ Hércules
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Fuerte San Francisco
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Inter
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Alianza
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal Limeño and Águila.
What is the prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
On our numbers Municipal Limeño have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Águila 42%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
Our predicted score is Municipal Limeño 1–1 Águila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Municipal Limeño vs Águila?
Municipal Limeño vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hércules2