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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Assyriska FF v Umeå FC: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
1–5
FT
Assyriska FF 37%Draw 23%Umeå FC 40% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.61
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultUmeå FC to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68

Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Thursday 14 May: Assyriska FF v Umeå FC in the Ettan Norra, played at Sodertalje Fotbollsarena. In the table, Assyriska FF are 11th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; Umeå FC are 8th (upper half) with 43.

Current form

Assyriska FF, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Karlberg, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Umeå FC, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gefle IF, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Assyriska FF 1.5 xG, Umeå FC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Assyriska FF 37%, draw 23%, Umeå FC 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Assyriska FF 1–1 Umeå FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Assyriska FF37%fair 2.74 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.60
Umeå FC40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
3.15Expected goals
1.54Assyriska FF xG
1.61Umeå FC xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Assyriska FF 1.5 – 1.6 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUmeå FC to win ✓40%2.502.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.531.45
Draw no betUmeå FC (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapAssyriska FF +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.291.22
First team to scoreUmeå FC to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.68–

Recent results

Assyriska FF – last 3

LWL
19 Aprvs Karlberg3–4L
12 Apr@ Piteå2–0W
5 Aprvs Stockholm Internazionale1–2L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Umeå FC – last 6

DWLLLW
9 Mayvs Gefle IF2–2D
3 Mayvs Karlberg2–1W
26 Apr@ Stockholm Internazionale0–3L
19 Apr@ Vasalund1–3L
12 Aprvs Arlanda0–1L
6 Apr@ Hammarby Talang2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Assyriska FF and Umeå FC.

Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?

On our numbers Assyriska FF have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Umeå FC 40%.

How many goals will there be in Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?

Our predicted score is Assyriska FF 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC?

Assyriska FF vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sodertalje Fotbollsarena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.