Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✓53% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Piteå vs FBK Karlstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 14 May the Ettan Norra brings Piteå against FBK Karlstad at LF Arena. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Piteå are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; FBK Karlstad are 6th (upper half) with 49. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Piteå, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vasalund, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
FBK Karlstad, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gefle IF, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours FBK Karlstad, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.6 for Piteå.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piteå 1.3 xG, FBK Karlstad 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piteå 27%, draw 21%, FBK Karlstad 53%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piteå 1–1 FBK Karlstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piteå27%fair 3.76 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.95
FBK Karlstad53%fair 1.90 · @1.73
3.06Expected goals
1.31Piteå xG
1.75FBK Karlstad xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.3 – 1.7 FBK Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBK Karlstad to win✓
53%
1.90
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.42
Draw no bet
FBK Karlstad (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Piteå +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
First team to score
FBK Karlstad to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Piteå – last 5
WLLLL
10 May
@ Vasalund
2–1
W
3 May
vs Arlanda
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Hammarby Talang
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Assyriska FF
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ IF Karlstad
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
FBK Karlstad – last 3
WLW
3 Apr
vs Gefle IF
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piteå and FBK Karlstad.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Piteå vs FBK Karlstad?
On our numbers Piteå have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FBK Karlstad 53%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs FBK Karlstad?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs FBK Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Piteå 1–1 FBK Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs FBK Karlstad?
Piteå vs FBK Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
