Vasalund 49%Draw 23%Gefle IF 28%Expected goals 1.72 – 1.61
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Gefle IF to win @ 3.95 – our chance 28% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVasalund to win ✓49% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Vasalund vs Gefle IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vasalund welcome Gefle IF to Skytteholms IP for a Ettan Norra fixture on Thursday 14 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, Vasalund are 13th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Gefle IF are 9th (lower half) with 41.
Current form
Vasalund, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Piteå, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Gefle IF, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Umeå FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game.
Momentum favours Gefle IF, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.8 for Vasalund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasalund 1.7 xG, Gefle IF 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasalund 49%, draw 23%, Gefle IF 28%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Gefle IF to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasalund 1–1 Gefle IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasalund49%fair 2.04 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.95
Gefle IF28%fair 3.54 · @3.95
3.33Expected goals
1.72Vasalund xG
1.61Gefle IF xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Vasalund 1.7 – 1.6 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasalund to win✓
49%
2.04
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Draw no bet
Vasalund (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Gefle IF +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
Vasalund to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vasalund / FT Vasalund✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Recent results
Vasalund – last 6
LDDWLL
10 May
vs Piteå
1–2
L
1 May
@ Stocksund
2–2
D
27 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Umeå FC
3–1
W
3 Apr
@ Arlanda
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ Stocksund
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 5
DLLWW
9 May
@ Umeå FC
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ FBK Karlstad
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ IK brage
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Sunnersta
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Lucksta
7–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasalund and Gefle IF.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vasalund vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers Vasalund have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gefle IF 28%.
How many goals will there be in Vasalund vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasalund vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is Vasalund 1–1 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Vasalund vs Gefle IF?
Vasalund vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Skytteholms IP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
