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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

A. Italiano v Everton de Vina: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida
A. Italiano 40%Draw 27%Everton de Vina 33% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.08
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Everton de Vina to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultA. Italiano to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.19

A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Everton de Vina travel to face A. Italiano on Sunday 22 February in the Primera División, with Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, A. Italiano are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Everton de Vina are 5th (upper half) with 40.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give A. Italiano 1.1 xG, Everton de Vina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – A. Italiano 40%, draw 27%, Everton de Vina 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Everton de Vina to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: A. Italiano 1–1 Everton de Vina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

A. Italiano40%fair 2.50 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Everton de Vina33%fair 3.00 · @3.30
2.22Expected goals
1.13A. Italiano xG
1.08Everton de Vina xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.1 – 1.1 Everton de Vina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultA. Italiano to win ✓40%2.502.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.95 ▲
Draw no betA. Italiano (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapEverton de Vina +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.531.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.58
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreA. Italiano to score first ✓46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT A. Italiano / FT A. Italiano ✗21%4.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.19–

Recent results

A. Italiano – last 1

L
15 Feb@ Nublense0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Everton de Vina – last 1

L
13 Febvs Huachipato0–3L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between A. Italiano and Everton de Vina.

A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina?

On our numbers A. Italiano have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Everton de Vina 33%.

How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina?

Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–1 Everton de Vina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina?

A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.