Coquimbo Unido vs Concepción: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Coquimbo Unido v Concepción in the Primera División. In the table, Coquimbo Unido are 6th, upper half, on 38 points after 26 matches; Concepción are 8th (upper half) with 38. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coquimbo Unido 1.5 xG, Concepción 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coquimbo Unido 53%, draw 25%, Concepción 21%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Concepción. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coquimbo Unido53%fair 1.87 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.60
Concepción21%fair 4.70 · @5.30
2.39Expected goals
1.47Coquimbo Unido xG
0.92Concepción xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Coquimbo Unido 1.5 – 0.9 Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coquimbo Unido to win
53%
1.87
1.60
Double chance
Coquimbo Unido or draw
79%
1.27
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Coquimbo Unido (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Concepción +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Coquimbo Unido to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coquimbo Unido / FT Coquimbo Unido
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Coquimbo Unido – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ U. Catolica
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Concepción – last 2
DL
21 Feb
vs Cobresal
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coquimbo Unido and Concepción.
What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Concepción?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Concepción?
On our numbers Coquimbo Unido have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Concepción 21%.
How many goals will there be in Coquimbo Unido vs Concepción?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coquimbo Unido vs Concepción?
Our predicted score is Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Coquimbo Unido vs Concepción?
Coquimbo Unido vs Concepción (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
